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Monetary Policy in Emerging-Market Economies Their Experience with Inflation Targeting

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Staff
ISBN-10: 9264044620
ISBN-13: 9789264044623

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Inflation targeting (IT) is an economic policy in which a country's central bank sets a target inflation rate, then raises or lowers interest rates accordingly to achieve and maintain that level of inflation.This volume looks at the experiences of six emerging-market economies that use inflation targeting —Brazil, Chile, Czech Republic, Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey.
Although the economic circumstances under which IT was put in place vary considerably among these countries, there are some common lessons and policy challenges for all.IT appears to be a generally effective policy, although it is not easy to ascertain the extent of change in macroeconomic performance due solely to its adoption. Inflation targeting is often a part of broader structural reform, and global economic conditions that affect countries using IT may simply be beyond the control of policymakers in individual nations. Still, there is fairly compelling evidence for some of these countries that inflation has become less volatile and persistent in the post-IT period, interest rates have become less volatile, and inflation expectations have been more responsive to monetary policy moves.
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Monetary policy and macroeconomic stability in Latin America: The cases of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico
Modelling and data
Estimation of the structural model
VAR analysis
Counterfactual analysis
Solving the rational expectations model
Brazil: Taming inflation expectations
Disinflation and recovery in 2003
Inflation rebound and policy response in 2004
Consolidating disinflation in 2005-06
Inflation expectations: convergence to the targets and lower inflation uncertainty
Inflation targeting in Chile: Experience and selected issues
IT in Chile
Selected monetary policy issues under IT
The Czech Republic's inflation targeting experience
The six phases of IT in the Czech Republic
Components of the IT regime
Monetary policy in emerging markets: The case of Indonesia
Indonesia's monetary policy framework: A brief history
The implementation of fully-fledged IT
Limitation of interest-rate responses and co-ordination with government
Conducting monetary policy with an open capital account
Lessons to be learned and policy implications
A closing remark: 2007 and beyond
South Africa's experience with monetary policy within an inflation-targeting policy framework
Assessing the performance of IT in South Africa
Remaining policy challenges
From exchange-rate stabilisation to inflation targeting: Turkey's quest for price stability
The 2001 crisis and the adoption of implicit IT
Putting the preconditions for formal inflation targeting in place
The launch of formal IT
Formal IT (2006-07)
Conclusion and challenges ahead

Edition: 2008
Publisher: Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development
Binding: Trade Paper
Pages: 174
Size: 6.00" wide x 9.00" long x 0.50" tall
Weight: 0.13 lbs.
Language: English

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