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Pro Football Prospectus Statistics, Analysis, and Insight for the Information Age

Schatz, Aaron; Alamar, Ben; Armstrong, Jim; Barnwell, Bill; FootballOutsiders.com Staff
ISBN-10: 0761142177
ISBN-13: 9780761142171

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Drawn from the groundbreaking intelligence at FootballOutsiders.com, the braintrust that, according to Salon.com, picked more correct playoff teams in the last two years than any other group of experts, here is the essential annual that features: - Pioneering team and player ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal true contributions to success.
- Unique statistical toolbox and game charting data (unavailable in standard NFL stats) such as which receivers run the longest patterns on both complete and incomplete passes; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measuring pass coverage rather than just tackles. - Exclusive 2006 Predictions and odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender...or a contender for the top pick in the 2007 draft. - In-depth essays on blitzing effectiveness, which coaches are most aggressive on fourth downs, how playoff workload affects a running back's career, forecasting fantasy team defense numbers as accurately as those for offensive players, and a revolutionary new method for projecting young quarterbacks based on college statistics.It's a bible for the over 14 million fantasy football players in America, and the smartest guide for savvy fans who are looking for the kind of statistical analysis once reserved only for baseball. Created by Aaron Schatz-a Bill James of football, according to The New York Times Magazine-and the staff of FootballOutsiders.com, PRO FOOTBALL PROSPECTUS 2006 presents a new year of groundbreaking intelligence, including: Pioneering team and player ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal true contributions to success. A unique statistical toolbox featuring DPAR (Defense adjusted Points Above Replacement); Stop Rate, or how often a defender makes a meaningful tackle; Adjusted Line Yards, which separate offensive line from running back performance, and more. Includes exclusive 2006 predictions and odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender. Praise for last year's debut: "As complete an NFL Preview as you will ever see. Aaron Schatz is bringing Moneyball to the oblong ball."-Jay Crawford, ESPN2 "A new bible for superfans and fantasy football leaguers"-Chris Berdik, Boston Globe "Indispensable to fantasy football players and fans who simply want to dig into thereal reasons teams play well"-The Washington Times "The book is loaded withinteresting observations."-The Philadelphia Inquirer "Outstanding"-The SanDiego Union-Tribune "Comprehensive"-The Washington Post"The most accurate insight into why teams really win and lose." - Jim Schwartz, Defensive Coordinator, Tennessee Titans"Essential reading for fans who want more than clicheacute;s- Pro Football Prospectus tells you not just who will win, but why." -Ron Jaworski, ESPN"Indispensable to fantasy football players and fans who simply want to dig into the real reasons teams play well." - The Washington Times
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Introduction
Statistical Toolbox
Q: Are We Not Men? A: We Are DVOA!
More Color: An Introduction to the Football Outsiders Game Charting Project
Teams - American Football Conference
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
True or False Starts
Cincinnati Bengals
ACL Rehab
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
The Toughest Divisions of the Decade
Is the First Week of the Season Meaningless?
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
Heartbreak Seasons
Can the Colts Be Slowed Down?
Jacksonville Jaguars
Converting College Quarterbacks
Kansas City Chiefs
Backup Blues
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
How Exceptional Are Adam Vinatieri's Clutch Field Goals?
New York Jets
Six Degrees of Bill Belichick
Oakland Raiders
Do NFL Teams Get Jet Lag?
Pittsburgh Steelers
Do Bigger Backs Break Down the Defense?
San Diego Chargers
The Vick-Tomlinson Trade, Five Years Later
Tennessee Titans
Is Steve McNair a Hall of Famer?
Teams - National Football Conference
Arizona Cardinals
Atlanta Falcons
Which Ages a Running Back More: Time or Workload?
Carolina Panthers
Short and Sweet
Chicago Bears
Inside Chicago's Pass Defense
Dallas Cowboys
The Roy Williams Rule
Detroit Lions
When Should a Team Draft Wide Receivers?
A Turkey of a Hypothesis
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
Are First-Round Running Backs Overvalued?
New York Giants
The Best and Worst Special Teams Games of the Decade
The East Coast Offense
Philadelphia Eagles
A Plethora of Passes Defensed
St. Louis Rams
Jumping the Gun
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
Road to Rouen
370 Carries Revisited
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Ronde Barber, King of Run Support
Washington Redskins
The Importance of the Kickoff in Overtime
Skill Players
Quarterbacks
Running Backs
Wide Receivers
Tight Ends
Kickers
Fantasy Football
Fantasy Risers and Fallers
Fantasy Defense: Predicting the Unpredictable
Top Fantasy Football Seasons of All Time
Further Research
Projecting Rookie Quarterbacks
Concussions
Guts and Stomps
Sunday Night Meltdown
Assessing the Fourth Down Tendencies of NFL Head Coaches
Stop Me Before I Blitz Again!
The NFL Fan's Guide to College Football 2006
The History of NFL Stats
Statistical Appendix
Author Biographies
Aaron Schatz and the Experts at FootballOutsiders.com




List price: $18.95
Edition: N/A
Publisher: Workman Publishing Company, Incorporated
Binding: Trade Paper
Pages: 496
Size: 8.50" wide x 10.50" long x 1.00" tall
Weight: 2.33 lbs.
Language: English

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